Can the Weather Predict Coffee Prices?
Most of the world’s arabica coffee grows in one part of Brazil. If frost hits Minas Gerais, there is less coffee that year, and the price goes up. Nobody argues with that. The question I wanted to answer is whether you can see it coming early enough to trade it. That is what Alladin does. It is the model I built after Taciturn, and it works on a completely different idea. ...