Machine-Learning

Most of the world’s arabica coffee grows in one part of Brazil. If frost hits Minas Gerais, there is less coffee that year, and the price goes up. Nobody argues with that. The question I wanted to answer is whether you can see it coming early enough to trade it. That is what Alladin does. It is the model I built after Taciturn, and it works on a completely different idea. ...

The Idea Crops care about the weather. A dry month in Iowa, frost in Minas Gerais or a strong El Niño changes how much corn, coffee or cocoa gets harvested — and prices follow. Alladin turns that into a trading signal. How It Works For nine commodities — cocoa, coffee, corn, soy, wheat, sugar, natural gas, orange juice and cotton — Alladin pulls daily weather for the regions that actually grow or consume them, from Open-Meteo’s ERA5 reanalysis: ...